This Paper examines the demand for air travel in Australia and forecasts domestic passenger and freight aviation demand to the end of the century at five-year intervals. The analysis begins by reviewing recent trends in patronage and air fares. It then identifies other major factors affecting demand as background for the empirical analysis. The study period for the empirical analysis covers the past eight years, 1977 to 1984, using quarterly data. The models provide, among other things, estimates of price and income elasticities of demand (or demand responses) for air travel in Australia. Finally, the Paper presents forecast growth rates for air travel subject to different future growth scenarios to the year 2000.

• Demand for Australian Domestic Aviation Services: Forecasts by Market Segment
  
  op_079.pdf
  (5.51 MB)

There has not been a comprehensive study of trends and changes in the institutional and commercial parameters which affect Australia's international aviation industry since the International Civil Aviation Policy review of 1978. The aim of the work reported in this Paper was to document the significant developments in international aviation on both a global scale and for Australian routes in particular. The historical trends in supply of and demand for international air passenger services to and from Australia are examined and the information used to forecast passenger numbers to the year 2000 for various markets.

• Trends and Prospects for Australian International Air Transport
  
  op_088.pdf
  (7.31 MB)

Forecasts for both domestic and international aircraft movements are generated for the years 1990, 1995 and 2000. From these forecasts growth rates in aircraft traffic have been calculated for the major international airports and for the major sectors in the Australian domestic aviation network. The time series model produces annual aircraft movements whereas the simulation model produces movements for a standard business day divided into morning, midday and evening periods.

• Forecasting Aircraft Movements at Major Australian Airports
  
  op_092.pdf
  (5.42 MB)

This Paper is an exploratory attempt to examine the distribution of raw and refined petroleum products by all transport modes over the period 1971–72 to 1986–87. The modal shares of the hydrocarbon movements task have been estimated together with the average growth rate of movements by each mode for that same period. Some origin-destination analysis has been undertaken with analyses of coastal shipping and pipeline movements being the most recent. Annually aggregated tonnages moved by the separate transport modes are the primary focus of this study. This study examines petroleum product movements up to 1986–87 and growth rates have been derived for each of the modal tasks up to this date. No forecasting of future movements shares, which would use these growth rates, is attempted.

• Transport of Hydrocarbons in the Oil and Gas Industries
  
  ip_031.pdf
  (3.01 MB)

This paper contains revision of some data for earlier years as well as statistics for 1985–86 and 1986–87. The paper presents a broad analysis of expenditure and revenue statistics, indicating the major trends in, and patterns of, road expenditure for each level of government in each State.

• Australian Road Financing Statistics 1977–78 to 1986–87
  
  ip_033.pdf
  (10.26 MB)

This report analyses the historical trends and current issues facing the international aviation industry and comments on possible future developments in international aviation.

• International Aviation: Trends and Issues
  
  report_086.pdf
  (42.77 MB)

Waterline issues 1–25

Note: large file.

• Waterline Issues 1–25
  
  water_001-025.pdf
  (10.44 MB)

This issue of Waterline includes the regular articles on stevedoring performance, port interface costs and port performance. A feature article provides an overview of the non-containerised general cargo sector.

• Waterline No 8
  
  water_008.pdf
  (422.46 KB)

This report examines the appropriateness of established rates of assistance for the shipping of cargo to and from Tasmania and proposes rate amendments for different commodities and different units for the shipment of those commodities. It was undertaken by BTCE as a preliminary analysis to assist the Tasmanian Freight Equalisation Scheme Review Authority to undertake a more thorough examination of these issues at the request of the Minister for Transport and Regional Development.

This issue of Waterline includes our regular article on stevedoring performance. The feature articles cover waterfront reliability, crew to berth ratios in Australian shipping and port charging.

• Waterline No 9
  
  water_009.pdf
  (420.65 KB)