Sydney Region Aviation Forecasts

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The Paper presents methods used for forecasting future passenger and aircraft movements at Sydney Airport. Forecast movements at 5-year intervals to the year 2000 are also presented using these methods, on the basis of assumptions about the future course of many underlying determinants such as population, income, fares, aircraft types, load factors and so on. The forecasts were prepared in support of the Major Airports Needs of Sydney (MANS) Study, and embody assumptions adopted by a Forecasting Consultative Group consisting of members drawn from various Commonwealth and State Government bodies.